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Date: Wednesday 09 Apr 2008
LONDON (ShareCast) - The International Monetary Fund said the mortgage crisis in the US is the “largest financial shock since the Great Depression” and warned that the global risk of recession is rising.
“The US economy will tip into a mild recession in 2008 as the result of mutually reinforcing cycles in the housing and financial markets,” it said
It slashed its growth forecasts for both the US and Britain, warning that there is one chance in four that global economic growth will drop to recession levels in the next 12 months.
"The financial shock that erupted in August 2007, as the US sub-prime mortgage market was derailed by the reversal of the housing boom, has spread quickly and unpredictably to inflict extensive damage on markets and institutions at the heart of the financial system," it said.
Earlier, Alistair Darling defended his forecasts for economic growth despite the International Monetary Fund's decision to cut predictions for the UK to 1.6% for both this year and next.
The IMF figure contrasted with the Chancellor’s own expectations of 2% growth in 2008.