Premier Foods(PFD)

Sector:

Food Producers & Processors

Index:

FTSE 250

Market Cap

£732.69m

Change Today

Price Down-5.25p

Share Price

86.75p

Wednesday tips round-up: Enterprise Inns, Serco, Babcock

Date: Wednesday 14 May 2008

LONDON (ShareCast) - Enterprise Inns' share price has plummeted from a year high of 774.5p to its current level, and a selective appraisal of yesterday's trading statement will make nervous reading for even the hardiest investor.

Operating at the quality end of the pub industry, it is probably suffering less than others, but like all its peers, the group is toiling in this market, and buyers should be wary. On a sector basis, the group looks good, but investors that do not like pubs, and there are many, should give it a miss. Sell says the Independent.

Serco is one of the biggest outsourcing groups in the country. It runs a plethora of services, from the Docklands Light Railway in London to looking after the UK's nuclear warheads. It is difficult to find a reason not to buy Serco: it is a strongly defensive stock and looks good value in its own sector. Buy says the Independent.

Support services group Babcock posted strong figures yesterday. Organic profit growth is running at 20%, operating margins have risen from 6.9% to 7.8% and the dividend has been increased by 43% to 11½p – matching the improvement in earnings per share. Babcock offers secure, long-term profit growth on a multiple of 14 times current-year earnings – a discount to Serco, which it closely resembles. Buy says the Times

Data management software group Invu has sorted out many of its troubles in recent months and recruited a number of highly regarded senior managers. However, with the shares already at an all-time high, perhaps buyers should wait for news of further deals for its Ergo search engine. Hold for now says the Independent.

If ever there was an industry sector at risk from the soaring oil price, dwindling consumer confidence and a strong euro, then surely it is travel. Yet yesterday’s half-year numbers from TUI Travel, Europe’s biggest tour operator, suggest anything but. The shares are trading on 12 times current-year forecast – reasonable given the pace of earnings growth. The ride could get bumpy but hold says the Times.

Car dealer Lookers looks cheap at seven times 2008 earnings and yielding 5% (albeit with £120m of debt). However, a poor near-term outlook for new cars counsels caution. Pass says the Times.

Hovis owner Premier Foods is not out of the woods yet. Fears of a rights issue or breach of covenants will stick around, at least until Premier can prove that sales volume growth - rather than just pushing through price increases - is back on track. The lack of clarity on future commodity costs and signs that retailers are becoming more aggressive on cost-cutting could weigh on the shares. Previous problems mean the stock is cheap compared to peers but investors will need more time to be convinced of a turnaround. Avoid for now suggests the Telegraph.

Galliford Try's business model, with the public sector and infrastructure focused construction business offsetting housebuilding, should offer some relief from the worst of the storm. From that perspective, the recent share price weakness looks overdone. Either way, investors would be foolish to bail out now. Hold says the Telegraph.






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Note 1: Prices and trades are provided by Digital Look Corporate Solutions and are delayed by at least 15 minutes.

Note 2: RiskGrade figures are provided by RiskMetrics.

 

Premier Foods Market Data

Currency UK Pounds
Share Price 86.75p Price Down
Change Today -5.25p
52 Week High 257.00p
52 Week Low 72.00p
Volume 12,127,048
Shares Issued 844.60m
Market Cap £732.69m
Beta 0.98
RiskGrade 282

Performance Indicators

Compare performance with the sector and the market.
Find out more
Key: vs Market vs Sector
Value
83.04% above the market average83.04% above the market average83.04% above the market average83.04% above the market average83.04% above the market average
95.56% above the sector average95.56% above the sector average95.56% above the sector average95.56% above the sector average95.56% above the sector average
Price Trend
43.74% below the market average43.74% below the market average43.74% below the market average43.74% below the market average43.74% below the market average
48.94% below the sector average48.94% below the sector average48.94% below the sector average48.94% below the sector average48.94% below the sector average
Income
56.46% above the market average56.46% above the market average56.46% above the market average56.46% above the market average56.46% above the market average
80.00% above the sector average80.00% above the sector average80.00% above the sector average80.00% above the sector average80.00% above the sector average
Growth
53.28% above the market average53.28% above the market average53.28% above the market average53.28% above the market average53.28% above the market average
70.00% above the sector average70.00% above the sector average70.00% above the sector average70.00% above the sector average70.00% above the sector average
Price Chg 6m
33.06% above the market average33.06% above the market average33.06% above the market average33.06% above the market average33.06% above the market average
44.68% above the sector average44.68% above the sector average44.68% above the sector average44.68% above the sector average44.68% above the sector average
P/E Not Available
PEG Not Available
Dividend Yield
64.36% above the market average64.36% above the market average64.36% above the market average64.36% above the market average64.36% above the market average
100.00% above the sector average100.00% above the sector average100.00% above the sector average100.00% above the sector average100.00% above the sector average
EPS Growth Not Available
Operating Margin
19.96% below the market average19.96% below the market average19.96% below the market average19.96% below the market average19.96% below the market average
25.58% below the sector average25.58% below the sector average25.58% below the sector average25.58% below the sector average25.58% below the sector average

What The Brokers Say

Strong Buy 4
Buy 1
Neutral 4
Sell 0
Strong Sell 1
Total 10
buy
Broker recommendations should not be taken as investment advice, and are provided by the authorised brokers listed on this page.

Premier Foods Dividends

  Latest Previous
  Interim Final
Ex-Div 26-Nov-08 04-Jun-08
Paid 02-Jan-09 04-Jul-08
Amount 2.20p 2.20p

Trades for 29-Aug-2008

Time Volume / Share Price
16:43 17,122 @ 86.75p
16:35 727,796 @ 86.75p
16:33 150,000 @ 86.71p
16:29 738 @ 87.00p
16:29 15,575 @ 87.00p

Premier Foods Key Personnel

CEO Robert Schofield
CFO Paul Thomas

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