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Northern Foods (NFDS)

Sector:

Food Producers & Processors

Index:

FTSE 250

Market Cap

£244.88m

Change Today

Price Unchanged0.000p ()

Share Price

52.25p

Volatile commodities trouble food producers

Date: Tuesday 19 Aug 2008

UK food producers have outperformed the FTSE 100 so far this year but with the problem of rising commodity unlikely to be solved quickly, it may be tougher going from here on.

The recent recovery of the US dollar has admittedly given some relief and led to a drop in the price of basic agricultural commodities such as corn, wheat and soybeans since the end of June.

But the long-term threats to worldwide agricultural output that have caused prices of basic agricultural commodities to skyrocket worldwide since 2003 remain and any respite may prove to be temporary.

Issues such as climate change, soil depletion, increasing urbanization, the growing use of biofuels and rising prices for oil and fertilizer have all been factors. Consumers have already felt the impact, but producers are now also showing the strain as the ability to pass on higher input costs becomes more limited.

In the US, Pilgrim's Pride, the world's largest producer of processed chickens, announced earlier this month that it is cutting back production to boost profits, while the world's largest meat firm, Tyson Foods, closed a Kansas factory and cut 1,500 jobs to deal with food price inflation.

Texas-based Pilgrim’s Pride reported a pre-tax loss of $76.8m in the quarter to June 28, compared with profit of $100m the previous year. Revenue rose to $2.2bn from $2.1bn.

Tyson Foods posted sharply lower profits in the quarter to 28 June as increased feed costs pushed its chicken operations into losses. Operating profit for the period fell to $45m from $212m, as chicken operations posted losses of $44m compared with a profit of $95m over the same period a year ago.

But it’s not just US firms that are shedding job. Hovis bread owner Premier Foods has already shut down five out of the nine factories earmarked for closure with the loss of hundreds of jobs. The other four are set to go during the second half.

Meanwhile, 730 people lost their jobs at Northern Foods after the firm mothballed its Fenland Foods plant in Grantham after failing to agree a new contract with Marks & Spencer for the supply of ready meals. Northern said the decision reflects a strategy of only continuing with business where terms generate an adequate return for its shareholders. "We couldn't find a business model that was profitable for us,” Northern chief executive Stefan Barden told reporters.

Turning away business is not something firms do lightly, but it highlights the pressure across the sector. Analsyst say to expect more job cuts, but whatever firms do to cut costs, the next 12 months promises to be a major test.

Note 1: Prices and trades are provided by Digital Look Corporate Solutions and are delayed by at least 15 minutes.

Note 2: RiskGrade figures are provided by RiskMetrics.

 

Northern Foods Market Data

Currency UK Pounds
Share Price 52.25p  
Closing Price Change 0.000p
52 Week High 100.00
52 Week Low 42.00
Volume 1,296,532
Shares Issued 468.66m
Market Cap £244.88m
Beta 0.76
RiskGrade 362

Performance Indicators

Compare performance with the sector and the market.
Find out more
Key: vs Market vs Sector
Value
11.03% below the market average11.03% below the market average11.03% below the market average11.03% below the market average11.03% below the market average
11.11% below the sector average11.11% below the sector average11.11% below the sector average11.11% below the sector average11.11% below the sector average
Price Trend
16.01% above the market average16.01% above the market average16.01% above the market average16.01% above the market average16.01% above the market average
19.15% below the sector average19.15% below the sector average19.15% below the sector average19.15% below the sector average19.15% below the sector average
Income
66.24% above the market average66.24% above the market average66.24% above the market average66.24% above the market average66.24% above the market average
80.00% above the sector average80.00% above the sector average80.00% above the sector average80.00% above the sector average80.00% above the sector average
Growth
59.33% below the market average59.33% below the market average59.33% below the market average59.33% below the market average59.33% below the market average
46.34% below the sector average46.34% below the sector average46.34% below the sector average46.34% below the sector average46.34% below the sector average
Price Chg 6m
33.46% above the market average33.46% above the market average33.46% above the market average33.46% above the market average33.46% above the market average
10.64% above the sector average10.64% above the sector average10.64% above the sector average10.64% above the sector average10.64% above the sector average
P/E
9.84% above the market average9.84% above the market average9.84% above the market average9.84% above the market average9.84% above the market average
8.57% below the sector average8.57% below the sector average8.57% below the sector average8.57% below the sector average8.57% below the sector average
PEG
6.4% below the market average6.4% below the market average6.4% below the market average6.4% below the market average6.4% below the market average
13.04% below the sector average13.04% below the sector average13.04% below the sector average13.04% below the sector average13.04% below the sector average
Dividend Yield
40.35% above the market average40.35% above the market average40.35% above the market average40.35% above the market average40.35% above the market average
65.52% above the sector average65.52% above the sector average65.52% above the sector average65.52% above the sector average65.52% above the sector average
EPS Growth
15.20% above the market average15.20% above the market average15.20% above the market average15.20% above the market average15.20% above the market average
39.39% above the sector average39.39% above the sector average39.39% above the sector average39.39% above the sector average39.39% above the sector average
Operating Margin
14.55% below the market average14.55% below the market average14.55% below the market average14.55% below the market average14.55% below the market average
9.09% below the sector average9.09% below the sector average9.09% below the sector average9.09% below the sector average9.09% below the sector average

What The Brokers Say

Strong Buy 2
Buy 2
Neutral 4
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0
Total 8
buy
Broker recommendations should not be taken as investment advice, and are provided by the authorised brokers listed on this page.

Northern Foods Dividends

  Latest Previous
  Interim Final
Ex-Div 07-Jan-09 06-Aug-08
Paid 30-Jan-09 28-Aug-08
Amount 1.55p 2.95p

Trades for 02-Dec-2008

Time Volume / Share Price
16:45 51,688 @ 52.25p
16:35 108,272 @ 52.25p
16:29 2,925 @ 52.75p
16:29 5,458 @ 52.75p
16:29 31 @ 53.00p

Northern Foods Key Personnel

CEO Stefan Barden

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