NEW! Investment Companies Centre

Greggs (GRG)

Sector:

Food & Drug Retailers

Index:

FTSE 250

Market Cap

£325.49m

Change Today

Price Up60.00p ()

Share Price

3,130.00p

Friday tips focus: WH Smith, Wood Group, Henderson

Date: Friday 10 Oct 2008

A low average spend by newsagent WH Smith’s customers – less than £5 a head – should provide a degree of protection in a consumer recession. Meanwhile, a three-year management incentive scheme – only a year of which has elapsed – is a powerful lure for Kate Swann, chief executive, to keep profit growth on track. Hold, says the Times.

A price/earnings multiple of about 8 times 2009 earnings looks mean, given WH Smith's convincing defensive position - its average transaction value is about £5 - and opportunities for growth, according to the Financial Times.

Wood Group may sit in the high-growth oil services sector, but in stock market terms it is no better than a bog-standard engineer. That must be the conclusion from the sharp sell-off in the shares of the Aberdeen group. Wood’s shares, up 10% yesterday, are likely to remain volatile in line with oil prices. But its strong position in the sector, and sound funding make them worth a “hold”, says the Times.

There is still little chance of the appetite for oil dropping any time soon, and gas demand is also on the up as the environmental agenda continues to gain political support. Nothing is certain in this uncertain world, but Wood Group is a definite buy, says the Independent.

When markets crash, fund managers are among the first to feel the blow. But the hasty nature of yesterday's announcement by Henderson, leaving the detail until next month's interim management statement, has worried investors. A near-£40m drop in revenues would take a serious chunk out of Henderson's bottom line. But with its fortunes tied so intimately to share prices, those willing to bet on a market recovery may still see attractions, says the Financial Times.

Cider volumes at C&C Group fell by 12% in the first half of the year, contributing to a 13.2% decline in revenues and 70% drop in attributable profits, as much of the fizz came out of Magners, its premium cider that was such a hit several years ago. There may well be value in the company but until a review is completed there seems no obvious catalyst to a re-rating and the stock is best left like its best-selling drink – on ice. Avoid, says the Telegraph.

Pasty and sausage roll chain Greggs produced a disappointing interim management statement yesterday, the first under the watch of the new chief executive Ken McMeikan, who joined in July. It lowered its profit guidance by £3m, about 6% lower than analysts' estimates. However, there could be some good news in the gloom. Sales showed some resilience to the deteriorating economy towards the end of the September. Hold, says the Independent.

Greggs’ 2008 price/earnings ratio of about 11 times adequately reflects the doubts, according to the FT.

Construction companies may not look like a good bet at the moment, but Carillion has a strong order book, comforting international diversity and net borrowing that will come in below the £300m target by the end of the year, according to yesterday's third-quarter management statement. Carillion is a tentative buy, in the Independent’s view.

Note 1: Prices and trades are provided by Digital Look Corporate Solutions and are delayed by at least 15 minutes.

Note 2: RiskGrade figures are provided by RiskMetrics.

 

Greggs Market Data

Currency UK Pounds
Share Price 3,130.00p Price Up
Change Today +60.00p
52 Week High 4,828.00
52 Week Low 3,007.00
Volume 41,819
Shares Issued 10.40m
Market Cap £325.49m
Beta 0.37
RiskGrade 191

Performance Indicators

Compare performance with the sector and the market.
Find out more
Key: vs Market vs Sector
Value
82.01% below the market average82.01% below the market average82.01% below the market average82.01% below the market average82.01% below the market average
9.09% above the sector average9.09% above the sector average9.09% above the sector average9.09% above the sector average9.09% above the sector average
Price Trend
48.04% above the market average48.04% above the market average48.04% above the market average48.04% above the market average48.04% above the market average
63.64% above the sector average63.64% above the sector average63.64% above the sector average63.64% above the sector average63.64% above the sector average
Income
24.66% below the market average24.66% below the market average24.66% below the market average24.66% below the market average24.66% below the market average
33.33% above the sector average33.33% above the sector average33.33% above the sector average33.33% above the sector average33.33% above the sector average
Growth
61.25% below the market average61.25% below the market average61.25% below the market average61.25% below the market average61.25% below the market average
100% below the sector average100% below the sector average100% below the sector average100% below the sector average100% below the sector average
Price Chg 6m
49.10% above the market average49.10% above the market average49.10% above the market average49.10% above the market average49.10% above the market average
66.67% above the sector average66.67% above the sector average66.67% above the sector average66.67% above the sector average66.67% above the sector average
P/E
15.92% below the market average15.92% below the market average15.92% below the market average15.92% below the market average15.92% below the market average
14.29% above the sector average14.29% above the sector average14.29% above the sector average14.29% above the sector average14.29% above the sector average
PEG
23.45% below the market average23.45% below the market average23.45% below the market average23.45% below the market average23.45% below the market average
Sector averageSector averageSector averageSector averageSector average
Dividend Yield
20.1% below the market average20.1% below the market average20.1% below the market average20.1% below the market average20.1% below the market average
Sector averageSector averageSector averageSector averageSector average
EPS Growth
18.72% above the market average18.72% above the market average18.72% above the market average18.72% above the market average18.72% above the market average
14.29% above the sector average14.29% above the sector average14.29% above the sector average14.29% above the sector average14.29% above the sector average
Operating Margin
5.52% above the market average5.52% above the market average5.52% above the market average5.52% above the market average5.52% above the market average
81.82% above the sector average81.82% above the sector average81.82% above the sector average81.82% above the sector average81.82% above the sector average

What The Brokers Say

Strong Buy 0
Buy 1
Neutral 7
Sell 0
Strong Sell 0
Total 8
neutral
Broker recommendations should not be taken as investment advice, and are provided by the authorised brokers listed on this page.

Greggs Dividends

  Latest Previous
  Interim Final
Ex-Div 03-Sep-08 23-Apr-08
Paid 03-Oct-08 23-May-08
Amount 49.00p 94.00p

Trades for 21-Nov-2008

Time Volume / Share Price
16:55 1,100 @ 3,130.00p
16:55 894 @ 3,064.59p
16:35 4,877 @ 3,130.00p
16:29 51 @ 3,071.00p
16:29 69 @ 3,136.00p

Greggs Key Personnel

Finance Director Richard Hutton
CEO Kennedy McMeikan

Digital Look have been voted
"Best Research and Information Provider"

4th Floor, Bankside House, 107 Leadenhall Street, London EC3A 4AF.
Registered in England and Wales (registered no. 3678570).